Turkey Aftermath: Notes and Articles

In the days after the attempted coup, or putsch, or whatever you want to call…whatever that was…there’s naturally been a torrent of information, misinformation, rumor, supposition, and analysis on what’s been happening in Turkey (including my two cents’). Some really good (e.g. Burak Kadercan, a very astute friend), some not so good (Tom Rogan, for example, is a bit naive). And then there’s Shadi Hamid of the Brookings Institute via The Atlantic, asking whether it’s reasonable to expect the Middle East to ever sprout secular democracies (he has a good point).

I’m also starting to rethink the proposition that Ergodan planned this all along, for reasons some of the links below should make clear. This includes the behavior the putsch military personnel themselves–don’t watch the video of the tank running over people (it’s not the only video out there, fyi), but the behavior of the soldiers themselves makes no sense given their avowed mission. Anecdotally, I’ve heard through the grapevine that it’s widely believed/known in Turkey that Erdogan engineered things,  and that, as a friend put it, they’re upset that Western media isn’t reporting on it. On the other hand, Işıkara, Kayserilioğlu, and Zirngast present some compelling reasons to the contrary, which make more sense to me–the putschists knew Erdogan was about to clean house, so had to launch the coup prematurely.

Here’s a list of items that I have paid special attention to:

My top picks:

Eyewitness and on-the-ground reports:

Analysis that suggests Erdogan planned it all:

Traditional analysis that accepts the coup attempt at face value:

Financial analysis, because let’s not forget the important question of trade and international finance: